Beating Broke

Personal Finance from the Broke Perspective

Archives for June 2010

Why are We so Clueless about the Stock Market

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Why are we so clueless about the stock market

By: Mariusz Skonieczny

Mariusz could have just as aptly named this book something like “The Beginners guide to the stock market” because that is what the book is; essentially.  He takes a very low level approach to the stock market in an attempt (I believe) to bring the chaos that is the everyday market to a much slower and easier to understand pace.

Even having read the book, and seen some of the examples he used, my mind is still having a hard time with it.  I’ve been so conditioned to see the stock market as this super-duper complex machine that only the smartest and best educated can even begin to understand.  And some of the elements of the stock market are that.  But, at it’s very core, the stock market is nothing more than an exchange for shares of companies.  The beginning of the book makes that abundantly clear.  It goes on from there, to explain some very simple concepts about earnings, e/p ratios, dividends, and stock price.

The book has a couple of failings, in my opinion.  One, it’s terribly short.  At 164 pages, it’s reminiscent of a “how-to” manual or very in depth brochure.  I also think that he took the concepts down to a too simple level.  I would like to believe that a company like Microsoft is similar to a lemonade stand, but I just can’t accept it.  Also, with as much explanation as he gives about the structure of business and the simpler indicators of a business’ health, it would have been nice to see him give a more in depth look at a few of the methods he uses for researching a company, as well as the use of various trading platforms or some of the best share dealing account UK trade brokers can offer.  He very briefly mentions a few, like annual reports, but it would be nice to maybe have examples of where in an annual report to find the information we need and also what form it might take.

The book gives a beginner the tools to understanding the basics of the stock market and to begin investing on the markets simplest level.  And I think that was the goal of the book.  Mission accomplished.  I would have liked to see it have a bit more information on the back end of the stock research and selection process.

Disclaimer: I was given a copy of this book by the author for review purposes.  If you’d like a copy for yourself, you can pick it up at Amazon.  Or, there may be a giveaway here in the coming months, so you could wait for that as well.

New Home Sales Down

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So, are you surprised by that news?  That new home sales dropped like a rock in May?  I can’t say that I am.  I try hard to keep my politics out of this site, but what the heck were they thinking?  If you look at the chart that CNNMoney has posted, you can clearly see that, not only did they drop, but they dropped below where they were before.

And obviously, there is a very nice spike for a while.  Incentives do make a bit of a difference.  And, in all honesty, if we had been in a situation where we felt we could afford a new home, we would have jumped at the opportunity to take advantage of those incentives.  But the spike was just that.  A small percentage of people taking advantage of an incentive that made it very attractive to buy a new house.  What it didn’t do was return home sales to anything like previous numbers.  In fact, it didn’t even get the numbers back to 50% of what they were in 2000!  And now, after the incentives have expired, they dropped 33% to an all-time new low. The last time the numbers were this low was in 1981!

I think everybody has the right to purchase a home.  You shouldn’t be dis-allowed from purchasing a home.  But, you still have to pay for it!  Owning a home is not a right.  The ability to purchase one if you can afford it is.  Years and years of politicians buying votes by pushing lenders to finance houses to people who couldn’t afford them is what caused the housing market (and our economy as a whole) to be in the condition it is in.  And that crashs’ ripples are still being felt throughout the country and the world.  Creating incentives to buying a home just extends that streak.  People see that $8000 and think that they can afford a home that they really can’t because they will get a nice $8000 check to help pay it down.  But, when that money comes around, what are they going to do with it?  Spend it.

And in five years, when those mortgages adjust, we’ll have a nice little mess to figure out again.  Sure, it won’t be anywhere near as bad as the current one, but it’ll be there.  If only we could teach people to be responsible consumers.  To not buy what they cannot afford, and to only spend what they earn or less.  If we could do that, then they wouldn’t need those incentives to buy a home.  They might actually be able to afford it without them.

Is Saving Money a Waste of Money

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Save! Be Frugal! A penny saved is a penny earned. There’s a plethora of maxims meant to encourage us all to save our money for a rainy day. To hoard our excess funds so that we can spend them at a later date and enjoy their usage. But, is saving our money a waste of our money?

The most obvious way that saving money could be a waste of money is in lost opportunity cost.  If your money is tied up in some CD or savings account that you don’t have ready access to, what opportunity are you going to miss out on that could make you even more money.  If you can’t take advantage of an opportunity to make money, your savings is wasting those potential profits.

But, that isn’t the real issue.  Potential profits don’t necessarily mean lost profits.  Maybe that opportunity doesn’t perform as expected and you earn less than you would have in the CD or savings accounts?  No, I don’t think that theory holds up.  Sure, you might miss out on a potential profit boon, but I wouldn’t encourage not saving for that purpose.  In fact, having a readily accessible savings could make it easier to take advantage of an opportunity like that.

But, let’s think for a moment about what we do to save money.  The easiest way to do that is to just have it taken directly from your paycheck and into a 401(k) or to set up an automatic transfer from your paycheck to a savings account.  Easy.  A little bit of set up involved, but very little effort thereafter.  That’s hardly a waste of money!  But, let’s look at the opposite side of the spectrum.  You’re pinching your pennies, saving as much as you possibly can and then some.  You don’t want to miss out on an opportunity, or you want to pay your debt off super fast!  You go so far as to start collecting pop cans.  (assuming you live in a state that has a deposit.)  You walk down the street and throw the cans you find into a bag.  Maybe you even hit the parks and poke through the trash cans there.  Every week, you spend several hours looking for cans.

How much is your time worth?  If you’re spending several hours a week for a few bucks worth of cans, are you making a good use of your time?  Isn’t your effort to save a few bucks a waste of potential money doing something else?  Heck, you could deliver pizzas for a few hours a week and make much more than that.  Not to mention the other ways to make extra money.  You can make money selling ebooks, or working some overtime, or consulting, or just about any second job, or make money on twitter, or even *ahem* blogging.  Sure, the cans are an extreme example.  But, one used to put a spotlight on my point.  What saving practices are you employing that are a waste of money?  Which of them are worth your time, effort, and resources?  And which aren’t?

If we are going to attempt to create a super financial situation, we have to make our saving machine as efficient as possible. It doesn’t hurt to question your tactics.  Find the ones that are causing you to waste your money and find a better use of your time.  Not only will it make your money saving efforts more efficient, but I think it will free up some time to do things that you want to do.  Like spend time with your kids, or walk through the park and not look for cans!