Beating Broke

Personal Finance from the Broke Perspective

New Home Sales Drop Even Further

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It wasn’t that long ago that we were talking about how far home sales had dropped (a new record low at the time) and the causes behind it.  It was just announced (yesterday or today) that new home sales have “unexpectedly” dropped another 12.4% to a new all time record low.

To be completely honest, I’m not sure why it was so unexpected that the sales would continue to drop.  The economy is still just as bad as it was.  It hasn’t necessarily gotten any worse, but it certainly hasn’t made any great rebounds either.  I still maintain that anyone who was in a financial situation to buy a new house likely did already to take advantage of the tax credits that were in play until the end of April.  On top of that, there’s still talk of more “stimulus” to the housing industry.  So it’s likely that there are some who are holding out for a new tax credit to show up.  Will that happen?  I hope not, but you just never know.  Another factor may be the still falling value of homes.  The further the prices fall, the more likely it is that you’ll end up underwater on it.  If you can’t get out from under that, it’s unlikely that you’ll be able to sell without a large amount to cover the difference.

I will continue to not be surprised by these “unexpected” drops in sales.  How about you?  Are there factors that I’m not taking into account that might rescue the sales figures?  (Wizards and warlocks don’t count.)

Stimulus Bill Tax Credit, Isn’t.

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With the passage of the huge “stimulus” bill a couple weeks ago, one of the things that has been talked quite a bit about by both the media and the President is the reduction in the taxes that are taken out of our paychecks.  Some $13 or so dollars on average will be left in our paychecks each week for us to spend, spend, spend.  Isn’t that great?  (can you taste the sarcasm?)

What they aren’t telling you is that it isn’t really a reduction.  Sure, they’ll be taking less out of each paycheck.  But they didn’t reduce the tax bracket rates any.  All they’ve done is reduce the percentage of your wages that will be withheld from your paycheck.  You’ll still owe the same amount on your taxes at the end of the year.

Here’s how it will work.  If you got a return this year, and are planning on getting one next year, it will be reduced by the extra taxes that didn’t get taken out of your check.  $13 less withholding dollars means $13 (or more) less refund.  Where it could really hurt people is where the person is already expecting to send a check with their tax forms.  Their check will have to be much bigger because of all this.

Now, to avoid all of this, you could instruct your payroll department to take that $13/week out anyways.  You could adjust your withholding on your W-4 so that more is taken out.  Or you could take that $13/month and stuff it away in a shoebox so you’ll still have it to pay Uncle Sam with come next April 15.

Any way you shake it, it comes down to a publicity stunt to make all the other needless spending in the bill look better.  It’s the proverbial spoonful of sugar to make a whole lot of pork go down.