Beating Broke

Personal Finance from the Broke Perspective

Is Gold the Next Bubble?

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Gold! Through the eons, it’s been a much sought after commodity. After all, it’s shiny and stuff. Even in the investment world, it’s the wonder investment. It’s touted as being the “can’t fail” investment for these uncertain times. Unlike stocks, gold is a physical thing. You can buy gold by the bar or by the ounce. And did I mention that it is a rock solid investment? Or is it?

The price of gold appears to hold a somewhat inverse relationship to the economy.  When times are good and the economy is rolling, the price of Gold goes down.  When times are bad and the economy is tanking, the price of Gold goes up.  Take the last few years for instance.  As the world’s economy has tanked, the price of gold has inversely risen significantly.  Why?  Because, whenever the economy tanks, the value of the dollar goes with it.  Now, stop to think what would happen if the dollar became worthless.  You couldn’t buy anything with that paper.  You’d be better off lighting a fire with it.  But Gold?  Gold is and always will be an in demand commodity.  No matter the value of the dollar, you can always trade gold!  So, as the economy tanks, more and more people begin buying gold.  They think of it as a sure-fire solid way to hold the value of their money as everybody else loses theirs.  If the economy tanks completely and the dollar becomes a fire starter, they’ll have something to buy stuff with.

So, worst case scenario, you’ve set yourself up and have something to trade.  But, much like the coins many of the gold hoarders buy, there’s a reverse side to this.  What if the economy recovers?  Those of you who are buying gold at $1100 and $1200 an ounce?  What happens when the economy comes back and the price of gold drops back down to something like $800 or $900?  Not so solid of an investment anymore, is it?

Now, let’s think on a grander scale.  There are an incredible number of people who are buying gold right now.  Celebrities everywhere are endorsing gold.  Regular joes like you and I are buying it up hoping to avoid the collapse of our economy.  And many of them will dump a large percentage of their investment portfolio into gold. Maybe even their life savings.  If they lose 30% of their savings/portfolio, what do you think will happen?  The gold bubble will burst.  The price of gold will drop even further as people rush to sell off their holdings.  They’ll lose even more.

Is that the way it will go down?  Is Gold just another big bubble like the dot-coms and real estate?  I happen to think it might be.  I don’t think it will have nearly the effect that either of the previous bubble bursts had, but it could be a pretty rough few years while we recover.  What do you think?  At the very least, if you want to get in to gold investing, sell your crap and use that to prospect.

Why are We so Clueless about the Stock Market

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Why are we so clueless about the stock market

By: Mariusz Skonieczny

Mariusz could have just as aptly named this book something like “The Beginners guide to the stock market” because that is what the book is; essentially.  He takes a very low level approach to the stock market in an attempt (I believe) to bring the chaos that is the everyday market to a much slower and easier to understand pace.

Even having read the book, and seen some of the examples he used, my mind is still having a hard time with it.  I’ve been so conditioned to see the stock market as this super-duper complex machine that only the smartest and best educated can even begin to understand.  And some of the elements of the stock market are that.  But, at it’s very core, the stock market is nothing more than an exchange for shares of companies.  The beginning of the book makes that abundantly clear.  It goes on from there, to explain some very simple concepts about earnings, e/p ratios, dividends, and stock price.

The book has a couple of failings, in my opinion.  One, it’s terribly short.  At 164 pages, it’s reminiscent of a “how-to” manual or very in depth brochure.  I also think that he took the concepts down to a too simple level.  I would like to believe that a company like Microsoft is similar to a lemonade stand, but I just can’t accept it.  Also, with as much explanation as he gives about the structure of business and the simpler indicators of a business’ health, it would have been nice to see him give a more in depth look at a few of the methods he uses for researching a company, as well as the use of various trading platforms or some of the best share dealing account UK trade brokers can offer.  He very briefly mentions a few, like annual reports, but it would be nice to maybe have examples of where in an annual report to find the information we need and also what form it might take.

The book gives a beginner the tools to understanding the basics of the stock market and to begin investing on the markets simplest level.  And I think that was the goal of the book.  Mission accomplished.  I would have liked to see it have a bit more information on the back end of the stock research and selection process.

Disclaimer: I was given a copy of this book by the author for review purposes.  If you’d like a copy for yourself, you can pick it up at Amazon.  Or, there may be a giveaway here in the coming months, so you could wait for that as well.

Enjoy Your Money! How to Make it, Save it, Invest it and Give it

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Enjoy Your Money!: How to Make it, Save it, Invest it, and Give it

By J. Steve Miller

Occasionally, authors approach me to read and review their books.  I usually do so, happily.  I enjoy reading, and anytime I can get a book to read for free, it makes my wife happier.  It’s hard for her to argue about my getting more books when they are free.  So, that’s my disclaimer.  J. Steve Miller sent me a copy of this book to read.  He also sent me a copy to give away, which I will be doing in the coming weeks.  Both are autographed too!

So, on to the book.  I’ve never read a finance book that was written in the same way as this book was.  Most of them are so matter of fact that they are beyond dry.  I have to take toothpicks an prop my eyelids open to finish reading them. (I exaggerate, but you get the idea)  But, this book was actually fun to read.  I think the pivotal reason why is that it’s written in a conversational tone.  Very nearly like most of the fiction books you would read.  Instead of just spitting out the facts and information for us to chew through, Miller gives it to us with a story.

Now, I can’t say that it’s an award winning story by any means.  There’s only so much you can do with the topic, after all.  The basics of the story follow a group of high school students (the counterculture club) as they are taken under the mentoring wing of a teacher from their high school.  Over several weeks worth of breakfasts at “Hash Browns” diner, she teaches them some key tenets of personal finance like ways to save your money, smart investing principles, and also ways to enjoy your money once you have it working for you.  There’s several places where the dialogue makes it seem as if the students are the ones feeding the information to us, which breaks the story facade, but if you ignore those, the story is quite good.

Despite the few flaws in the story, I think Miller makes an excellent attempt at making personal finance easy to learn.  The book was great for me, but I think it would be even better as a tool for teaching high school aged children about finances.  I can’t say for sure if that’s what Miller intended, but I would guess it is.  I think it would make an excellent addition to the curriculum of a school.  It would hit a roadblock with some of the religious undertones, so you may have to just buy a copy and gift it to a high schooler you know.

You can pick a copy of it up at Amazon for $15.99.  (Or you can wait for the giveaway and try your chances there.)  For more information, (description, sample chapters, author interviews and reviews) see the press page here: http://jstevemiller.com/blog/?page_id=578